Power transformers are vital components in electric grids;however,methods to optimise their loading to extend lifespan while accounting for insulation degradation remain underdeveloped.This research paper introduces a...Power transformers are vital components in electric grids;however,methods to optimise their loading to extend lifespan while accounting for insulation degradation remain underdeveloped.This research paper introduces a novel integrated data-driven framework that combines particle filtering and model predictive health(PF-MPH)model for the predictive health manage-ment of power transformers.Initially,the particle filter probabilistically estimates power transformers'remaining life(R_(L))using direct winding hotspot temperature(χ_(H))measurements.The obtained R_(L)will then be used to calculate the degree of poly-merisation(DP)level and assess the current insulation condition.After that,a comparative analysis between direct and model-basedχ_(H)measurement methods is performed to highlight the superior accuracy of direct measurements for predictive health management.Then,the MPH optimisation algorithm,which uses the R_(L)and DP forecasts from the PF method,derives an optimal trajectory over the transformer's R_(L)that balances the costs of increased loading against the benefits gained from prolonged insulation longevity.The findings show that the proposed PF-MPH model has successfully reduced the χ_(H)by 2.46%over the predicted 19 years.This approach is expected to enable grid operators to optimise transformer loading schedules to extend the R_(L)of these critical assets in a cost-effective manner.展开更多
This paper aims to increase the diagnosis accuracy of the fault classification of power transformers by introducing a new off-line hybrid model based on a combination subset of the et method(C-set)&modified fuzzy ...This paper aims to increase the diagnosis accuracy of the fault classification of power transformers by introducing a new off-line hybrid model based on a combination subset of the et method(C-set)&modified fuzzy C-mean algorithm(MFCM)and the optimizable multiclass-SVM(MCSVM).The innovation in this paper is shown in terms of solving the predicaments of outliers,boundary proportion,and unequal data existing in both traditional and intelligence models.Taking into consideration the closeness of dissolved gas analysis(DGA)data,the C-set method is implemented to subset the DGA data samples based on their type of faults within unrepeated subsets.Then,the MFCM is used for removing outliers from DGA samples by combining highly similar data for every subset within the same cluster to obtain the optimized training data(OTD)set.It is also used to minimize dimensionality of DGA samples and the uncertainty of transformer condition monitoring.After that,the optimized MCSVM is trained by using the(OTD).The proposed model diagnosis accuracy is 93.3%.The obtained results indicate that our model significantly improves the fault identification accuracy in power transformers when compared with other conventional and intelligence models.展开更多
基金supported by Shandong Provincial Natural Science Foundation(ZR2024ME229,ZR2024ZD29).
文摘Power transformers are vital components in electric grids;however,methods to optimise their loading to extend lifespan while accounting for insulation degradation remain underdeveloped.This research paper introduces a novel integrated data-driven framework that combines particle filtering and model predictive health(PF-MPH)model for the predictive health manage-ment of power transformers.Initially,the particle filter probabilistically estimates power transformers'remaining life(R_(L))using direct winding hotspot temperature(χ_(H))measurements.The obtained R_(L)will then be used to calculate the degree of poly-merisation(DP)level and assess the current insulation condition.After that,a comparative analysis between direct and model-basedχ_(H)measurement methods is performed to highlight the superior accuracy of direct measurements for predictive health management.Then,the MPH optimisation algorithm,which uses the R_(L)and DP forecasts from the PF method,derives an optimal trajectory over the transformer's R_(L)that balances the costs of increased loading against the benefits gained from prolonged insulation longevity.The findings show that the proposed PF-MPH model has successfully reduced the χ_(H)by 2.46%over the predicted 19 years.This approach is expected to enable grid operators to optimise transformer loading schedules to extend the R_(L)of these critical assets in a cost-effective manner.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under grant Ui966209Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province under grant ZR2020ME196.
文摘This paper aims to increase the diagnosis accuracy of the fault classification of power transformers by introducing a new off-line hybrid model based on a combination subset of the et method(C-set)&modified fuzzy C-mean algorithm(MFCM)and the optimizable multiclass-SVM(MCSVM).The innovation in this paper is shown in terms of solving the predicaments of outliers,boundary proportion,and unequal data existing in both traditional and intelligence models.Taking into consideration the closeness of dissolved gas analysis(DGA)data,the C-set method is implemented to subset the DGA data samples based on their type of faults within unrepeated subsets.Then,the MFCM is used for removing outliers from DGA samples by combining highly similar data for every subset within the same cluster to obtain the optimized training data(OTD)set.It is also used to minimize dimensionality of DGA samples and the uncertainty of transformer condition monitoring.After that,the optimized MCSVM is trained by using the(OTD).The proposed model diagnosis accuracy is 93.3%.The obtained results indicate that our model significantly improves the fault identification accuracy in power transformers when compared with other conventional and intelligence models.
