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多区域海洋M_(3)分潮的观测与验证 被引量:2
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作者 adam thomas devlin 潘家祎 Déborah IDIER 《中国科学:地球科学》 CSCD 北大核心 2023年第10期2300-2313,共14页
M_(3)海洋分潮(三阶潮或一日三次周期潮汐)经常受到忽视,因而对M_(3)分潮进行更精确的分析研究,可以提高潮汐预测、海洋数值模拟、大地测量的准确度.尽管M_(3)分潮在整体潮汐所占比例较小,但由于陆架共振及其他影响,某些沿海地区M_(3)... M_(3)海洋分潮(三阶潮或一日三次周期潮汐)经常受到忽视,因而对M_(3)分潮进行更精确的分析研究,可以提高潮汐预测、海洋数值模拟、大地测量的准确度.尽管M_(3)分潮在整体潮汐所占比例较小,但由于陆架共振及其他影响,某些沿海地区M_(3)潮可大大增强.本文使用157个验潮站的数据,以及9年时间窗口,对水位变化进行了潮汐谐波分析.本文还分析了太阴M_(3)潮,将这些结果与全球同化的模型数据(TPXO9v5a)进行了比较,重点研究了西太平洋和欧洲陆架地区.与验潮站数据相比,大部分区域TPXO9v5a导出的M_(3)潮振幅和相位滞后表现良好,但在沿海和地形复杂的区域,其结果误差较大.在欧洲陆架海域使用了一个浅水数值模型(MARS),该模型在某些地区优于TPXO的结果.在欧洲陆架海域的五个子区域中,TPXO在三个地点的M_(3)振幅及相位滞后预测的均方根误差(RMSE)更小.而在其他子区域,MARS模拟结果更为准确.本文发现一些地点的M_(3)振幅有着显著长周期变化,这与海平面上升(SLR)导致的共振效应有关,这种共振效应可以调制海洋对天文引潮力的响应.本文使用MARS模型,应用各种海平面上升的预设情境,对M_(3)振幅的长周期变化进行了模拟研究.结果表明随着时间的推移,超过一半验潮站M_(3)振幅长期变化方向(增加或减少)与MARS模型结果一致. 展开更多
关键词 三阶海洋潮汐 M3分潮 卫星高度计 数值模拟 海平面上升
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Multi-regional observations and validation of the M_(3)ocean tide
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作者 adam thomas devlin Jiayi PAN Déborah IDIER 《Science China Earth Sciences》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2023年第10期2265-2277,共13页
Improved determinations of the oft-ignored third-degree ocean tides can yield better accuracy for tidal predictions,numerical model solutions,and geodesy.While only a small part of tidal range,these components can be ... Improved determinations of the oft-ignored third-degree ocean tides can yield better accuracy for tidal predictions,numerical model solutions,and geodesy.While only a small part of tidal range,these components can be larger at certain coastal locations due to shelf resonances and other effects.Here,we discuss observations of the M3lunar terdiurnal tide using 9-year windowed tidal harmonic analyses at 157 tide gauges compares to a global assimilation model(TPXO9v5a),with a focus on the Western Pacific and the European Shelf.TPXO9v5a does well in estimating the observed M_(3)amplitudes and phase lags in most regions,though determinations in coastal zones and in morphologically complex areas are coarse and often inaccurate.We also employ a shallow-water model(MARS)on the European Shelf,which can yield localized improvement over TPXO.In five subregions of the European Shelf,regional root-mean-squared-errors(RMSEs)are lower(and thus a better fit)at three locations for TPXO for amplitudes,and three for phase lags,with MARS simulations being a better fit in the other subregions.We also show that some locations have experienced significant long-term increases and/or decreases in the M_(3)amplitude over time,likely related to resonance changes under sea level rise(SLR)which can modulate the oceanic response to astronomical forcing.This hypothesis is explored for Europe using the MARS model by applying various sea level rise scenarios,showing that the directionality(positive or negative)of the long-term changes in M_(3)amplitudes over time match the model results for more than half of our validation stations. 展开更多
关键词 Third-degree tides M_(3)tide ALTIMETRY Numerical simulation Sea level rise
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Versioned geoscientific workflow for the collaborative geosimulation of human-nature interactions-a case study of global change and human activities
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作者 Yuting Chen Hui Lin +5 位作者 Ling Xiao Qi Jing Lan You Yulin Ding Mingyuan Hu adam thomas devlin 《International Journal of Digital Earth》 SCIE 2021年第4期510-539,共30页
Global change refers to changes in the relationship between humans and nature.It is desirable to actively integrate human social activities into the unified framework of global change so that their mutual relations an... Global change refers to changes in the relationship between humans and nature.It is desirable to actively integrate human social activities into the unified framework of global change so that their mutual relations and functional mechanisms can be understood.This complicated issue necessitates an appropriate method allowing domain experts to collaboratively contribute their knowledge to geoscientific research.Also,an efficient approach to optimize experimentation is of great importance.The reproducibility of research methods and results needs to be improved to boost the sharing of geographic knowledge and resources.This paper proposes a versioned geoscientific workflow and characterizes its full lifecycle using Virtual Geographic Environments,intending to facilitate and improve research related to the interactions between global change and human activities.The geoscientific workflow management is realized using the concept of version management,making geographic simulation methods and computational results easily reproducible and extendable.The sharing and reuse of geographic knowledge in various forms are archived through version management of geoscientific workflows.A versatile prototype system is implemented which enables the visual modeling of geoscientific workflows,the interactive optimization and collaborative evaluation of geoscientific workflows at runtime,the multi-dimensional dynamic visualization of geo-workflow outputs,and role-based access control for data security. 展开更多
关键词 Geoscientific workflow geographic simulation version management global change virtual geographic environment
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