Desalination of sea water projects are critical for addressing water scarcity in regions like Egypt,but they face numerous risks that can hinder their success.This study identiies and analyzes 53 risk factors affectin...Desalination of sea water projects are critical for addressing water scarcity in regions like Egypt,but they face numerous risks that can hinder their success.This study identiies and analyzes 53 risk factors affecting renewable energy desalination projects through expert interviews,literature review,and a questionnaire survey completed by 47 experts.Statistical methods,including descriptive statistics(mean,mode,standard error,and standard deviation),Pearson correlation,and Cronbach’s alpha,were employed to validate the reliability and signiicance of these factors.The overall questionnaire showed excellent reliability(α=0.815 for probability of occurrence;α=0.921 for degree of impact).The results indicate a strong consensus among industry experts.Inlation and priceluctuations was ranked as the highest‑probability risk(mean=4.32/5),while faulty design of plant components(intake,outfall,mechanical systems)was ranked as the highest‑impact risk(mean=4.51/5).Conversely,environmental disasters(earthquakes,loods)showed the lowest probability of occurrence(mean=1.91/5),and social pressures from entities not directly invested in the project’s success showed the lowest degree of impact(mean=2.70/5).These statistically validatedindings provide project stakeholders with critical insights into the most signiicant threats to desalination initiatives in Egypt’s unique operational context.Theseindings provide a robust basis for understanding and managing risks in desalination projects,contributing to grow the knowledge on desalination project sustainability and offers actionable insights for stakeholders in Egypt and similar arid regions.展开更多
文摘Desalination of sea water projects are critical for addressing water scarcity in regions like Egypt,but they face numerous risks that can hinder their success.This study identiies and analyzes 53 risk factors affecting renewable energy desalination projects through expert interviews,literature review,and a questionnaire survey completed by 47 experts.Statistical methods,including descriptive statistics(mean,mode,standard error,and standard deviation),Pearson correlation,and Cronbach’s alpha,were employed to validate the reliability and signiicance of these factors.The overall questionnaire showed excellent reliability(α=0.815 for probability of occurrence;α=0.921 for degree of impact).The results indicate a strong consensus among industry experts.Inlation and priceluctuations was ranked as the highest‑probability risk(mean=4.32/5),while faulty design of plant components(intake,outfall,mechanical systems)was ranked as the highest‑impact risk(mean=4.51/5).Conversely,environmental disasters(earthquakes,loods)showed the lowest probability of occurrence(mean=1.91/5),and social pressures from entities not directly invested in the project’s success showed the lowest degree of impact(mean=2.70/5).These statistically validatedindings provide project stakeholders with critical insights into the most signiicant threats to desalination initiatives in Egypt’s unique operational context.Theseindings provide a robust basis for understanding and managing risks in desalination projects,contributing to grow the knowledge on desalination project sustainability and offers actionable insights for stakeholders in Egypt and similar arid regions.
