摘要
解构区域贸易协定(RTA)数字贸易规则深度如何影响全球价值链风险敞口,对实现“稳链”与维护国家经济稳定至关重要。本文基于2007—2022年ADB-MRIO与TAPED的合并数据,探究RTA数字贸易规则深度对全球价值链风险敞口的影响效果。研究发现,RTA数字贸易规则深度通过数字技术创新能力增强效应、信息与通信技术(ICT)发展水平提升效应和数字服务贸易壁垒降低效应实现全球价值链“稳链”。异质性检验可知,RTA数字贸易规则深度对全球价值链“稳链”的影响因条款内容、RTA成员方数量、经济发展程度以及数字服务贸易监管程度异质性而存在显著差异。进一步分析可得,RTA数字贸易规则网络地位的提升能显著降低全球价值链风险敞口,实现全球价值链“稳链”。
Deconstructing how the depth of digital trade rules within Regional Trade Agreements(RTA)impacts global value chain risk exposure is crucial for achieving“chain stability”and safeguarding national economic stability.This study examined the effects of RTA digital trade rule depth on global value chain risk exposure using merged data from the ADB-MRIO and TAPED databases.Findings reveal that the depth of RTA digital trade rules achieves“global value chain stability”through three mechanisms:en-hancing digital technological innovation capabilities,elevating ICT development levels,and reducing barriers to digital services trade.Heterogeneity tests reveal that the impact of RTA digital trade rules depth on global value chain stability varies significantly by rule type,RTA membership size,economic development levels,and digital services trade reg-ulation intensity.Further analysis indicates that enhancing the network position of RTA digital trade rules significantly reduces GVC risk exposure,thereby achieving global value chain stability.
作者
宋跃刚
朱苗苗
SONG Yuegang;ZHU Miaomiao(School of Business,Henan Normal University,Xinxiang,Henan,453007)
基金
国家社会科学基金一般项目“新质生产力驱动制造业全球价值链系统韧性提升的机制与路径研究”(24BJY103)
国家社会科学基金重大项目“城乡融合与新发展格局战略联动的内在机理与实现路径研究”(21&ZD084)。
