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基于“三元引擎”的黄河流域新质生产力演化及耦合协调发展分析 被引量:2

Spatiotemporal Evolution and Coupling Coordination Development of New Quality Productive Forces in the Yellow River Basin Based on the"Triple Engine"Model
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摘要 文章从科学技术革命性突破、产业深度转型升级和生产要素创新性配置3个维度构建新质生产力“三元引擎”耦合协调机理模型,采用博弈论组合赋权法计算了其最优权重;同时,运用模拟退火优化投影寻踪评估模型、耦合协调度模型,对2012—2022年黄河流域新质生产力发展水平和“三元引擎”耦合协调发展进行了测度分析。结果表明:(1)数据要素化水平、人工智能专利数量和工业机器人渗透率是提升新质生产力的关键驱动力;(2)黄河流域新质生产力整体呈上升趋势,但区域间仍存在显著的发展不平衡,形成了以山东为领先的三级梯度分布格局;(3)黄河流域新质生产力“三元引擎”协同效应逐步增强,反映出科学技术革命性突破、产业深度转型升级和生产要素创新性配置的协调发展,但区域差异明显。最后,文章提出了推动黄河流域新质生产力的高质量发展和促进区域协调发展的对策建议。 This paper constructs a triple-engine coupling coordination mechanism model of new quality productive forces from three dimensions:revolutionary breakthroughs in science and technology,deep industrial transformation and upgrading,and innovative allocation of production factors.Using the game theory combined weighting method to calculate optimal weights of three dimensions,this study employs the simulated annealing to optimize the projection pursuit evaluation model and the coupling coordination degree model to measure and analyze the development level and triple-engine coupling coordination of new quality productive forces in the Yellow River Basin.The research results show that:1)The level of data factorization,the number of artificial intelligence patents,and the penetration rate of industrial robots are key driving forces for enhancing new quality productive forces.2)The overall new quality productive forces in the Yellow River Basin shows an upward trend,but it shows significant regional development imbalances and forms a three-tier gradient distribution pattern led by Shandong Province.3)The synergistic effect of the"triple engines"is gradually strengthening,reflecting the coordinated development of revolutionary breakthroughs in science and technology,deep industrial transformation and upgrading,and innovative allocation of production factors,though regional disparities are evident.Finally,this paper proposes countermeasures to promote the high-quality development of new quality productive forces and regional coordinated development in the Yellow River Basin.
作者 林瑶 徐宗煌 古恒宇 LIN Yao;XU Zonghuang;GU Hengyu(School of Geography and Ocean Science,Nanjing University,Nanjing 210023,Jiangsu,China;School of Information Management,Nanjing University,Nanjing 210023,Jiangsu,China)
出处 《经济地理》 北大核心 2025年第6期26-35,共10页 Economic Geography
基金 国家自然科学基金青年项目(42301278) 教育部人文社会科学研究青年基金项目(23YJC790032) 中国科协青年人才托举工程(2023QNRC001) 江苏省研究生科研与实践创新计划项目(KYCX25_0104)。
关键词 黄河流域 新质生产力 “三元引擎” 数据要素 人工智能 耦合协调度 高质量发展 Yellow River Basin new quality productive forces triple engines data element artificial intelligence coupling coordination high-quality development
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