摘要
基于2011—2018年21个客源地入境桂林旅游人数的面板数据,利用双重差分法研究了桂林市2015年面向东盟十国团队游的入境免签政策对入境旅游人数的促进作用。结果表明:入境免签政策在实施初期有显著的正增长效应,入境旅游人数平均而言显著提高了近89.2个百分点,但政策效应持续时间并不长;通过异质性分析发现,入境免签政策的旅游促进效应在不同客源地之间存在较强异质性,对经济发展水平越高或华人占比越高的客源地的促进效应越大。
With the panel data of the number of inbound tourists to Guilin City from 21 tourist-generating regions between 2011 and 2018, this paper uses the difference-in-differences method to study the promotion effect of the inbound visa-free policy of Guilin City for the group tours of ten ASEAN countries in 2015 on the number of inbound tourists. The results show that the visa-exemption entry policy has a significant positive growth effect in the initial implementation period, and the number of inbound tourists increases by nearly 89.2percentage points on average, but the policy effect does not last long. Through the heterogeneity analysis, it is found that the tourism promotion effect of the policy has a strong heterogeneity among different touristgenerating regions. In general, the higher either the level of economic development or the percentage of overseas Chinese is in the tourist-generating regions, the greater the effect is on tourism promotion.
作者
刘素君
陈雨
LIU Su-jun;CHEN Yu(College of Foreign Languages,Hainan University,Haikou 570228,China;School,of Electronic Engineering and Automation,Guilin University of Electronic Technology,Guilin 541004,China)
出处
《海南大学学报（人文社会科学版）》
CSSCI
2022年第4期105-114,共10页
Journal of Hainan University （Humanities & Social Sciences）
基金
海南省哲学社会科学2020年规划课题(HNSK(ZC)20-05)
国家自然科学基金项目(71964011)
国家社会科学基金项目(20BJY205)。
关键词
入境免签
政策评价
双重差分法
入境旅游
异质性
visa exemption entry
policy evaluation
difference-in-differences method
inbound tourism
heterogeneity
