摘要
采用滤波分析方法等、TRAMO-SEATS方法,从不同时间尺度对林芝的旅游客流分布及波动特征进行分析。结果表明:(1)25年间林芝旅游接待总人数增长迅速,但年度变化强度较大,整个旅游业的发展阶段可划分为起步阶段、平稳发展阶段和快速发展阶段;(2)除受突发事件影响的时段之外,林芝的旅游月度客流量基本呈现波动式上升,与此同时季节性特征也较为明显;(3)从景区角度来看,林芝景区可分为三大类,每一类景区都有自身典型的客流波动特征。分析认为,气候条件、公共假期、突发事件等是影响林芝旅游客流时间分布的重要因素。最后,从开展反季旅游、打造全域旅游等方面提出优化林芝旅游的对策,以实现旅游产业的转型升级。
This paper, with TRAMO/SEATS and filter analysis methods, analyzes the characteristics of Nyingchi City's tourist volume fluctuation in different time periods. Three results have been achieved as follows:( 1)The total number of tourists who travelled in Nyingchi grew rapidly in the past 25 years, but annual change of tourist volume is relatively big, and the tourism development in terms of time can be divided into the early stage, the steady development stage and the rapid development stage.( 2) Except for the influence of emergencies, Nyingchi's monthly tourist volume generally presents a fluctuating rise, and its tourist volume also fluctuates with seasons.( 3) In terms of scenery, Nyingchi scenic area can be divided into three categories,each of which has its particular characteristics of tourist volume fluctuation. The study also shows that climate conditions, public holidays, and emergencies etc. are important factors affecting the time distribution of tourist volume in Nyingchi. The paper finally puts forward the countermeasures for Nyingchi to promote off-season tourism and all-in-one tourism to improve and upgrade its tourism industry.
出处
《无锡商业职业技术学院学报》
2017年第5期46-53,共8页
Journal of Wuxi Vocational Institute of Commerce
基金
国家自然科学基金项目"城市旅游流与旅游效率的时空关系及其作用机制研究"(41401144)
关键词
时间尺度
旅游客流
分布特征
林芝
time periods
volume of tourists
distribution characteristics
Nyingchi City