摘要
利用投入产出乘数理论,基于1995-2009年中国投入产出表,探讨引入能耗效率因素对中国主导产业的影响。研究结果表明,从能耗效率视角考察主导产业时,部分能耗效率较低的制造业部门将不再属于主导产业范畴,而修正后的主导产业中增加了批发业、金融业等服务业部门。结构路径分析的结果表明,非熟练劳动力受主导产业冲击的直接影响要大于熟练劳动力;农村居民受主导产业影响的群体主要是非熟练劳动力家庭;城市居民受主导产业影响的群体则涉及非熟练劳动力、熟练劳动力和资本所有者家庭。
Using input-output multiplier theory, this paper examines the identification of leading industries in China under energy constraint, based on input-output table of China for the period from 1995 to 2009. The result shows that, after taking into account the effect of energy efficiency, revised leading industries don＇t include manufacturing sectors with low energy efficiency, while service sectors such as wholesale trade and financial industry are considered as leading industries. The result of structural path analysis shows that, compared with skilled labor force, the direct impact of leading industries on unskilled labor force is larger. As for rural household, leading industries primarily affect families with unskilled labor force. As for urban household, the affected interest groups involve families with unskilled labor, skilled labor or capital owners.
出处
《现代财经（天津财经大学学报）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2013年第9期24-35,共12页
Modern Finance and Economics：Journal of Tianjin University of Finance and Economics
基金
国家社科基金一般项目(11BJL064)
湖北省社会科学基金"十二五"规划项目
关键词
能耗约束
主导产业
投入产出表
社会核算矩阵
energy constraint leading industries
input-output table
social accounting matrix
