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China's Household Consumption Decline Amidst Rising Income Inequality: A Theoretical and Empirical Study

China's Household Consumption Decline Amidst Rising Income Inequality: A Theoretical and Empirical Study
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摘要 This paper studies the relationship between the widening urban-rural income inequality and weak household consumption demand in China. The theoretic model shows that households with higher income have lower average and marginal propensity to consume (APC and MPC), and that the larger the income gap is, the weaker household consumption demand becomes. This paper tests the theoretical model with the panel data of 28 Chinese provinces, municipalities and autonomous regions from 1978 to 2009. The results show that with an increase of RMBIO, O00 in income, household APC drops by 25.6 percent and MPC by 7.0 percent," and that if the income gap widens by one unit, household consumption rate drops by 6. 5 percentage points. Simulation results reveal that the widening urban-rural income inequality caused an extra drop of 3.42 percentage points in household consumption rate from 2000 to 2008, which accounts for 30.8 percent of the total drop in household consumption rate during that period.
作者 陈斌开
出处 《China Economist》 2012年第6期110-123,共14页 中国经济学人(英文版)
基金 The author appreciate the financial support from the Program of National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 71003112, 71273289).
关键词 income inequality consumption rate life-cycle hypothesis 收入差距 家庭 中国 消费量 边际消费倾向 消费需求 模型显示 仿真结果
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