摘要
利用格兰杰因果检验方法,对我国外汇储备与经济增长关系进行实证分析。从检验结果来看,短期和长期外汇储备的增长源于经济增长,但外汇储备只能在短期内促进经济增长。由于外汇储备对经济增长的促进作用只是短期行为,要真正促进经济增长还需要依靠其他政策综合发挥作用。
The relationship between foreign exchange reserves and economic growth of China was analyzed both theoretically and empirically by using Granger Causality Test method. It was evident that the short term and long term accumulation of foreign exchange reserves came from economic growth,whereas the large amount of foreign exchange reserves just contributed to short term economic boom. So in order to stimulate long term economic prosperity,other comprehen-sive policies should be adopted.
出处
《商业研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2010年第11期6-9,共4页
Commercial Research
基金
中央高校基本科研业务费专项资金项目
项目编号:JY10000908004
关键词
外汇储备
经济增长
格兰杰因果检验
foreign exchange reserves
economic growth
Granger Causality Test