摘要
贝叶斯决策理论是主观贝叶斯派归纳理论的重要组成部分。现代归纳逻辑遇到 “归纳接受”的难题,一部分学者用贝叶斯决策理论的思想和方法解决这个问题,后来导致了信念 修正理论的产生。从只考察归纳推理前提与结论之间的逻辑联系到全面地刻画归纳推理的动态 认知过程,现代归纳理论的发展呈现出一种新的面貌,而贝叶斯决策理论是其中承上启下的一 环。对贝叶斯决策理论的检验和修正导致了富有成果的新理论的建立。
Bayesian decision theory as part of the modern inductive logic has had a great influence on the development of inductive logic. This present essay makes an attempt to explicate the foundation of Bayesian decision theory, reveal its relations with inductive logic and discusses the criticisms in question.
出处
《北京师范大学学报(社会科学版)》
CSSCI
北大核心
2005年第2期108-113,共6页
Journal of Beijing Normal University(Social Sciences)
关键词
贝叶斯决策理论
归纳逻辑
规范性理论
描述性理论
Bayesian decision theory
inductive logic
normative theory
descriptive theory