摘要
本文在一个简单的投资决策框架内对投资者面对国有股全流通这一事件风险时的最优决策问题进行建模 ,得到一个基于流动性的资本资产定价模型。结论表明 ,相对于不存在事件风险的情形而言 ,国有股的存在使得更多投资者不愿进入市场 ,导致市场流动性进一步下降。同时 ,这一事件风险使得选择进入市场的投资者要求更高的流动性溢价。由此 。
This paper models event risk (the sudden announcement of circulation of state own shares) and investment decision in a simple setting and derives a Liquidity based Asset Pricing Model. The paper shows that the presence of illiquid shares deters some investors from entering the market, with the result of an endogenously thin market. It further shows that any rational investors will ask for compensation for this thinness.Thus,this model provides a theoretical explanation of the long drawn stock market downturn since June,2001.
出处
《经济研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2004年第8期85-93,127,共10页
Economic Research Journal